Opinion
Urgent need to get rid of subsidies
13 Jun 2011 |
Mr Pravin Kumar Agarwal
| The Financial Express
Fuel subsidy has thwarted competition and ensured the dominance of oil PSUs. It has drained government finances and hurt oil marketing companies. What we need is market determined pricing for petroleum products.
The blame game on coal shortage
07 Jun 2011 |
Mr S K Chand
| The Financial Express
The serious shortage of domestic coal supplies, becoming graver by the day, is being directly attributed to the ministry of environment and forests's (MoEF) green activism; particularly that of its minister. The standoff between the ministry of coal and MoEF is only partially resolved, but this time the minister has hit the nail on the head. At the last Group of Ministers meeting, the minister pointed out that Coal India Ltd (CIL) wants to bring in more and more new areas under mining without fully exhausting the production potential of existing areas.
Is CIL left with any other option?
It is now clear that CIL has reached a stage where it is unable to further increase coal production either from the existing mines or by starting new mines. CIL had already stretched its capacity to limits when in December 2005, Public Investment Board (PIB), under the chairmanship of then-expenditure secretary, cleared 16 proposals in one shot for enhancing the capacities of several large opencast mines by an additional 100 million tonnes (mt) of annual coal production (read government approval for over-exploitation of existing mines). CIL's total annual production in the year 2004-05 was only 323 mt, which, thus, grew to 431 mt in 2009-10-an increase of over 100 mt in 5 years. Then, CIL registered zero growth next year in 2010-11.
CIL is also unable to quickly projectise virgin coal blocks, not only because of the recent go/no-go controversy but also because of the skewed government policy of the past. CIL had reported that it can produce 500 mt annually starting 2011-12 until 2036-37 if it was allowed to retain 289 virgin coal blocks (known as CIL blocks) out of the total kitty of 499 virgin coal blocks for meeting its long-term requirement. These 289 virgin coal blocks were better explored, had largely proven reserves with developed infrastructure viz rail, road, power, etc, compared to the blocks being offered for captive mining (174 in number) to private parties and others, which were largely unexplored or were away from developed infrastructure. But this was not to be. The Prime Minister's Office (PMO) supported the recommendation of the Ratan Tata-headed Investment Commission (2006), which recommended that 'CIL blocks' should be de-reserved. Since CIL was planning to projectise only 150 blocks until 2011-12, the balance 79 fully explored virgin CIL blocks were de-reserved, thus seriously limiting CIL's capacity to manoeuvre against the go/no-go embargo in 2010. Now, many of the CIL's virgin blocks to be projectised by 2011-12 got stuck with the go/no-go controversy as many of these blocks lie deep in unbroken forests in newer coalfields or in existing coalfields with already high levels of pollution. Understandably, CIL now desperately needs all these shallow virgin coal blocks to be cleared for opening new mines as it is hardly left with any other option.
In spite of many constraints, out of 40 blocks allotted prior to 2003, 14 blocks (out of 26 today) were operating in 2009 and more were ready to follow. On the other hand, the de-reserved good CIL coal blocks allotted to private parties or governments for fast tracking coal production have failed to produce any coal so far.
In the long-term, CIL's production is going to decline very sharply as the older mines get depleted faster due to over-exploitation and it would not have any virgin coal blocks to projectise after finishing the current lot due to the release of 'CIL blocks' to private parties and others.
The problem of shortage of coal to the power sector had become so acute that the PMO intervened and got some of the blocks cleared that were initially under no-go, including one coalfield in Orissa, which was high on Comprehensive Environmental Pollution Index.
The pressure from the ministry of power has also been increasing because many of the existing power plants are forced to back down due to a shortage of coal, and there is a clear possibility that the shortage will result in the stranded capacity of almost 24,000 MW of the current Plan period's likely capacity addition of 55,000 MW; lowered down from the ambitious plan of 78,000 MW to start with.
It is obvious that CIL, a maharatna company, is left with no contingency plan to fall back upon and, therefore, it is now coercing the government to clear all the leftover virgin coal blocks; be it a case of diversion of deep forest land or be it a case of ignoring the high degree of pollution in the coalfields. Now the Prime Minister himself has decided to intervene by scheduling a high power meeting of concerned ministers and the deputy chairman of Planning Commission.
It is going to be a tough call but the outcome of the meeting is a foregone conclusion.
Climate proofing businesses is an imperative
05 Jun 2011 |
Dr R K Pachauri
| The Financial Express
Industry needs to assess the impact of climate change and prepare to encounter this growing challenge, not just in keeping with global objectives, but also in the interest of success purely in a business sense.
To not land in trouble
05 Jun 2011 |
Dr Ibrahim H Rehman
| Hindustan Times
Every year, industrial development projects displace about 10 million people globally. In India alone, involuntary resettlement has affected about 50 million people over the last five decades. Three-fourths of them still face an uncertain future. People displaced by such projects are prone to being rendered landless, jobless, homeless and marginalised.
Yet, the policies and programmes related to their relocation and rehabilitation are yet to find satisfactory answers to questions like: Is the land acquisition in terms of the quantity and quality of the land acquired justified? Does the process follow the principle of causing minimum displacement?
If it affects the habitat or livelihood or both of the displaced, does the form and content of compensation reflect the current value of the land? Does the compensation package provide sustainable means of livelihood?
The land acquisition processes by the corporates hasn't moved in tandem with the needs and aspirations of affected communities. The first issue is that of identifying a piece of land based on parameters that depend on intensive assessments of social and environmental aspects.
For instance, while setting up a water-intensive industry, a detailed assessment of current and future estimation of aquifer conditions in the area must be undertaken.
Further, productive and fertile land is often acquired when non-productive land may serve the purpose. At times, even the quantum of land acquired exceeds the immediate and near-future needs.
To begin with, corporates should avoid as much displacement as possible. They should also look beyond the technical requirements and availability of raw materials to focus on social and environmental issues. Once the land to be acquired is identified, it's critical to determine the number of families that will get affected, as there is always a conflict on the actual number of 'victims'.
The scenario is further complicated as the process often takes two to three years to get completed. During this period, there is lot of in-migration to the potential site. Consequently, there is often dispute on the residential status of families and the grievance redressal mechanism to resolve such concerns is usually lacking.
It’s desirable that a credible grievance redressal system is in place wherein collective complaints are addressed among people, corporates and the district administration.
The compensation package is usually worked out on the basis of the number of potentially affected families. The problem here is that relocation and rehabilitation packages treat the displaced as an obstacle to be overcome rather than as partners in the process of industrialisation.
Further, neither the Land Acquisition Act, 1894, nor the Land Acquisition (Amendment) Bill, 2007, prescribes an accurate methodology to determine the rate at which land should be acquired. So a scientific process to determine land rates should be devised and an appropriate legal and regulatory framework should be set up.
One-time compensation packages don't last for long. Therefore, along with a paradigm shift in the compensation packages, we need to devise innovative experiments like giving equity participation as part of compensation or a subsistence allowance along with pension schemes.
On the issue of relocation, corporates often shy away from constructing relocation and rehabilitation colonies. It's desirable that these colonies provide good quality health and education facilities and reflect, and address, the socio-cultural sensitivities and sensibilities of the displaced communities.
While the livelihood concerns are planned to be addressed by creating employment opportunities, either a detailed analysis of livelihoods and their disruption is not undertaken or the promises made aren't kept. Further, in case of the acquisition of agricultural land, monetary compensation doesn't adequately address the concerns of livelihood and economic sustenance of the displaced family.
A subsistence allowance should be given to every affected family till adequate means of livelihood are made available.
The Land Acquisition (Amendment) Bill, 2011, and the Rehabilitation and Resettlement Bill, 2011, will soon be tabled in Parliament. They promise to bring radical changes to the existing process of acquisition. However, acts and regulations alone won't bring about the real change.
A new thinking and a spirit of inclusion at the level of corporates are equally important.
Power from all
30 May 2011 |
Dr Debajit Palit
| The Financial Express
Off-grid power can supplement the government's rural electrification efforts and help ensure power for all by 2012.
New pricing tiers add to instability
02 May 2011 |
Ms Aastha Mehta
| The Financial Express
The building blocks of coal security - availability and affordability - have recently been questioned. The coal availability that was believed to be in plenty is proving to be a myth. Now there are concerns about its affordability too, given the frequent price revisions. The domestic demand and supply gap is widening. The Annual Plan Document (2011-12) has projected the coal imports at 137 million tonnes as against 83 million tonnes in the last fiscal. Such high import levels are likely to destabilise the financial structure of the coal-dependent sectors.
Though coal pricing is decontrolled, the industry, with its low price elasticity and a majority of its production and demand coming from the government sector, continues to be under the influence of the ministry of coal.
Prior to nationalisation, the price of coal was determined by the market forces, with very little government intervention. However, the nationalisation of the industry in 1973 brought the sector under a monopoly market structure with coal pricing shifting to an administered regime. Under that regime, several committees were constituted and the prices were revised at frequent intervals to cover the rising input costs. Subsequently, the prices were linked to the useful heat value of coal, and the Bureau of Industrial Costs and Pricing (BICP) developed a formula for estimation of coal prices based on the average long-run marginal cost. Finally, coal prices were completely decontrolled in 2000. Coal producing companies were given the right to determine the price levels, but in practice the ministry still is in full control.
Now different grades of coal are supplied at different prices fixed by Coal India in consultation with the ministry. The supply of coal is ensured to the regulated sectors, based on the historical prices set by the BICP. The regulated sector is defined to include power, fertiliser and defence sectors, however, the latter two constitute only a miniscule share. For other sectors about 75% demand maybe met through the Fuel Supply Agreement and the rest is acquired via imports or e-auction. In addition, due to the shortage of coal and high transportation costs to the western region, the consumers are compelled to accept the cost-plus pricing. But the price of premium quality coal is estimated at import parity level. Therefore, different grades of coal are priced either on historical rates i.e. price determined under ministry's guidance; or via e-auction i.e. highest bid price; or at an import parity price level; or at cost-plus price. To add to the complexity, the Union Budget (2011-12) has rolled out a dual pricing mechanism for the first time. This implies same-grade coal will now be available at differing prices to different consumers.
In this year's Budget, the price revision has been three-tiered: 30% hike for the sectors whose prices are market-driven (excluding power, defence and fertiliser); price hike for coal produced by MCL to bring it on a par with SECL; and price hike for higher grades of coal to bring it on a par with international rates.
Besides, it is being speculated that Coal India may increase prices across all sectors again during July-August 2011, after it has negotiated a salary hike for its employees.
These unstable prices and the lack of transparency translate into a highly complex market structure.
Emitting confusing signals
18 Apr 2011 |
| The Financial Express
The National Clean Energy Fund (NCEF), announced in Budget 2010-11, was a major step in India's quest for energy independence and climate change mitigation.
NCEF's objective was to fund research and innovative projects in clean energy technologies. It has been estimated that a nominal clean energy cess of R50 per tonne on coal, both domestic and imported, would bring in about R2,500 crore. The launch of NCEF has raised the expectations that it would help galvanise clean energy-related R&D.
Last year, environment minister Jairam Ramesh hinted at utilising NCEF for climate change adaptation. Now, by any stretch of imagination, such actions cannot be linked to clean energy or for that matter, energy. On the other hand, there are proposals to use NCEF for facilitating large-scale deployment of renewable energy. While no one disputes the urgent need for accelerating diffusion of renewable energy, it is also a fact that R&D in renewable energy does not get the kind of attention it deserves.
Unless substantial public investments are made in R&D it would be very difficult to achieve the goal of deep cost reductions in this field. Besides, the NCEF corpus could be leveraged appropriately to bring in additional funds for innovative renewable energy projects. Indeed, a portion of NCEF can be earmarked as venture capital to provide financial capital to early-stage and high-potential projects.
In keeping with the intention behind such a fund, it may be worthwhile to use NCEF ingeniously to provide the much-needed impetus to development, incubation and demonstration of renewable energy technologies through the relevant entities, both public and private.
R&D activities being pursued by different establishments in India need to be reviewed with a view to bring about greater synergy among all developmental activities pertaining to clean energy technologies. It would be helpful if a complete road map, indicating clear-cut milestones, quantum and nature of resources (both, financial as well as technical expertise) to reach the predetermined goals, is prepared.
It is high time the objectives and goals of NCEF were defined transparently, and a mechanism for its implementation was put in place along with an institutional set up for operationalising it. This is important to ensure that NCEF does not become yet another general pool of fund.
Bihar’s rising power demand
21 Mar 2011 |
Mr Gurudeo Sinha
| The Financial Express
Bihar has low electricity consumption but it might see a big jump in its power demand soon, with rural electrification programme in the state progressing at a brisk pace. The state should deal with the emerging challenge through a strategy involving both supply and demand side measures.
Bihar has achieved very high growth rate in the past five years. Sustenance of this growth rate requires huge jump in electricity demand. Bihar's per capita annual consumption of electricity of around 100 kWh against the national average of around 700 kWh is due to very poor state owned generation (only one unit of 110 MW is in operation with 38% plant load factor) and low allocation from CPSU (around 1,600 MW). Rural electrification which currently stands at around 10% is expected to grow to around 100% in the next two years thanks to RGGVY.
With T&D losses at 38%, the finances of Bihar State Electricity Board are in poor shape. The Government provided the Board with revenue subsidy and grant of R720 crore in the financial year 2008-09. It is essential for the state to adopt a multi-pronged strategy so that in a short time frame availability of power can be increased, T&D losses can be reduced, wasteful consumption is controlled, demand side management used to reduce peak power demand and Distributed Generation used to provide security of supply in rural sector.
An option of arranging for electricity in a short time lies in procurement of electricity through; bidding process from generation which is neither fuel nor location specific. This is especially important as it normally takes around four years to set up and commission a thermal power plant. In addition, new plants can get bogged down by issues of land acquisition, environmental clearances, coal linkages and financial closure; the State can actively engage with Nepal to set up Hydel based generation in the Himalayan Rivers. Although time consuming, this is one source which is perennial in nature, is carbon neutral and will assist in flood management of North Bihar. Engaging corporate entities to participate in unique and sustainable initiatives by the government can be another source. The Public-Private-Partnership model will enhance the promotion of alternate energy source schemes already available. TERI's ‘Lighting a Billion Lives (LaBL)' campaign has succeeded in illuminating the lives of over 1.5 lakh people, spread over 600 villages across 16 states in India, since its inception. The campaign receives support from corporates and PSUs among its various partners, who believe that corporate responsibilities go beyond the financials.
Bihar is essentially an agrarian state and various renewable means of generating electricity can be effectively employed. Distributed Generation using biomass such as rice husk, corn cobs/other renewable sources has the potential to enhance security of supply and provide employment in rural areas. Co-generation in sugar mills should also be promoted.
Loss reduction strategies and load management programmes are required to be implemented by ensuring metering up to distribution transformer level linked to remote computer so that power flows can be monitored on line and segment of high losses identified and corrective actions taken swiftly. Consumer indexing is essential for loss reduction as the difference between energy sent out from each transformer and the energy billed and collected for consumers linked to each transformer provides the real picture of transformer wise T&D loss and AT&C loss. Load flow studies should be used for upgradation , strengthening and expansion of distribution network. This shall also help in loss reduction and improve security of supply.
Re-organisation of the electricity board into transmission, generation and distribution needs to be carried out as it provides operational, managerial and functional autonomy to successor utilities to operate along commercial lines. It also transfers past losses to a holding company thus paving the way for financial turnaround of the sector. An independent SLDC for real time operations and control of state grid, scheduling and dispatch, energy accounting is necessary for efficient and secure functioning of the power sector. Special Electricity Courts as per the Electricity Act, 2003 need to be established to address issues related to illegal abstraction of electricity and help in loss reduction drives. Voltage wise energy audit and energy accounting is necessary to be carried out so that technical and commercial losses can be segregated and suitable targeted interventions identified and implemented.
Demand Side management (DSM) based on ESCO model (Energy Service Companies) being promoted by BEE for replacing inefficient agricultural pump sets provides an opportunity to change them with no cost to the farmer or the Government or the distribution utility and help in reducing demand as well reducing electricity consumption. Bachhat Lamp Yojna being promoted by BEE can be used to promote efficient lighting. These initiatives also help in reducing carbon footprint.
Fast tracking of electricity reforms, IT interventions both for on line monitoring through Supervisory Data Acquisition and Control Systems (SCADA) and Management Information System are necessary for achieving security of supply with a low carbon pathway.
Assured and affordable availability of electricity shall provide the base for all round development and industrial growth of Bihar. It holds the key to fulfilling aspirations of people in Bihar.
Is Nuclear Power Safer Than Other Energy: We need the power, but with scrutiny
18 Mar 2011 |
Dr Leena Srivastava
| The Economic Times
The fact that India needs nuclear energy to contribute to its portfolio seems indisputable. Today, roughly half of India's population does not have access to clean energy forms and the other half that does have access cannot rely on either the quantity or the quality of energy provided.
Therefore, if India needs to sustain an 8-9% annual rate of economic growth based on inclusive development, we would need to add approximately 6,00,000 mw of power by 2030. It is increasingly obvious that India's coal resources are not going to be able to support this growth. While renewable energy is an option, the need for stable base power makes reliance on nuclear power almost a given.
India has made huge efforts, therefore, to enter into the civil nuclear agreement with the US and extended the same with several other countries. The question now, in the wake of developments in Japan , is can India responsibly handle its current and future nuclear generating capacities? One serious accident in a nuclear plant can lead to large-scale and long-lasting impacts - impacts that do not differentiate between the rich and the poor or the young and the old.
But it is also true that our inability to provide clean energy sources to the masses is resulting in around 4,00,000 premature deaths annually from indoor air pollution - largely impacting children under 6. It has also been estimated that air pollution in urban areas leads to approximately 50,000 premature deaths. The key difference between these casualties and those arising from a nuclear accident is that these are widely dispersed geographically and spread through the year, although repeated annually.
As such, we need to carefully evaluate India's options before closing the door on nuclear energy. Having said that, there is a need to open up the nuclear programme in India to greater technical, economic and social scrutiny. The people in the country have to be involved in the decision-making processes on location, safety and regulatory aspects and disposal of nuclear wastes. India needs to evaluate its own options in a local context.
No signals on energy access
07 Mar 2011 |
Dr Leena Srivastava
| The Financial Express
India is poised to enter the last year of the 11th Five-Year Plan period in which we had set ourselves some ambitious targets for strengthening the infrastructure sector, including energy availability. However, it is apparent that we are once again not on the path to meeting the original electricity generation capacity additions by at least 30% if not more.
Imports of coal are slated to go up from 59 million tonnes in 2008-09 to nearly 142 million tonnes by the end of this fiscal. Oil production has stagnated for the last several years while crude oil imports have increased from a 100 million tonnes in 2005-06 to 160 mt in 2009-10. Natural gas has shown a healthy growth but the gas transportation grid in the country still needs huge investments. The signals provided in the current Budget have to be seen in this context.
On the supply side, the finance minister has clearly recognised the challenges faced by the infrastructure sectors, including energy, in raising the magnitude of finances that would be supportive of an aggressive growth plan. To that extent, he has announced several measures to ease this pressure, including: (i) substantially increasing the FII limit for investments in corporate bonds to $40 billion (ii) permitting FIIs to in unlisted bonds of infrastructure SPVs with a minimum lock-in period of three years; (iii) creating special vehicles in the form of notified infrastructure debt funds to attract foreign funds with a substantial reduction on withholding tax rate from 20% to 5% on interest payments and fully exempting the incomes of the fund from tax; (iv) extending the additional deduction of ,000 for investment in long-term infrastructure bonds by another year.
On the energy demand side, too, several positive measures have been announced in the Budget speech. Most significant among these is the move to provide kerosene subsidies in a more targeted fashion directly to intended beneficiaries through direct cash transfers. This was a proposal that Teri has also made nearly five years ago, highlighting the fact that nearly 26-40% of the total kerosene consumed in the country cannot be accounted for and the possible implications this had for adulterating diesel. Teri had, in fact, also pointed out that 76% of the LPG subsidy goes to urban areas and nearly 40% of the LPG subsidy is enjoyed by top 6.75% of the population. One hopes that a similar targeted approach would be taken to LPG pricing as well.
The finance minister has also done well to recognise the emerging role of electric and hybrid vehicles and has announced the setting up of a national mission on the subject. The developments in this area would need to be watched in the coming months. Several other initiatives to facilitate the development of green mobility options: (i) concessional excise duty of 10% on fuel cell/hydrogen driven vehicles; (ii) exemption from basic customs duty and special CVD on parts of hybrid vehicles; and (iii) a concessional rate of excise duty of 5% to incentivise domestic production of hybrid vehicles.
What continues to be disappointing in terms of policy signals is the totally inadequate attention being given to energy access issues. With over 600 million people continuing to be dependent on traditional biomass energy forms for meeting their cooking energy needs and nearly 400 million people having absolutely no access to electricity in their homes, the delivery of inclusive development becomes questionable. The fact that energy must be provided in order to meet the other eight millennium development goals is a universally accepted. Yet, no clear strategy seems to be implicit in any part of the Budget exercise. The only exception being the reduction of basic customs duty on solar lanterns from 10% to 5% and that on a few other inputs used in the manufacture of solar modules/ cells being reduced to nil.
Finally, "a group of ministers has been set up to consider all issues relating to reconciliation of environmental concerns emanating from various departmental activities, including those related to infrastructure and mining. This group will also suggest changes in the existing statutes, rules, regulations and guidelines and make its recommendations in a time-bound manner." For the coal and power sectors, in particular, the recommendations of this committee are going to be crucial. However, in arriving at their recommendations, one can only hope that the committee would undertake a careful evaluation of the longer-term trade-offs involved and would appropriately balance the different - economic, social and environmental - pillars of sustainable development.