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Improved Load Capacity (ILC)
With BAU levels as the base, the no-load ratio of all vehicles is lowered
from the present 50 per cent to 20 per cent in the ILC (improved load
capacity) scenario. Thus, the use of freight vehicles may be reduced in
order to reduce the CO2 emissions from freight vehicles.
Alternative Energy Replacement (AER)
During the study on emission factors, it was discovered that the CO2
emission factor of diesel vehicles is generally higher than that of
gasoline vehicles. Therefore, an AER (alternative energy replacement)
scenario can be designed, in which the newly increased light-duty
freight vehicles are all gasoline vehicles.
Clean Energy Replacement (CER)
China has promulgated policies on promoting new energy vehicles,
and encourages consumers to buy clean energy vehicles (such as
electric vehicles [EVs] and hybrid electric vehicles [HEVs]) by means of
tax exemption or government subsidies. Therefore, the cleaning energy
replacement (CER) scenario assumes that the HEVs will account for
10 per cent of the total increased light-duty freight vehicles.
3.7.3 Scenario Analysis of Emission Reduction for Motor
Vehicles
Quantitative Analysis of Motor Vehicles in Different
Scenarios
In accordance with the scenario analysis, different quantities of freight
vehicles were estimated for the different scenarios. Refer to Table 3.2
for details.
Table 3.2 Quantities of Freight Vehicles in Guiyang in 2015 in Different Scenarios
Parameters 2011 BAU 2015 CER
ILC AER 27,072
24,897
Light-duty gasoline vehicles 22,982 35,948 25,163 27,527
261
Light-duty diesel vehicles 24,897 38,944 27,260 24,897 9,931
454
Heavy-duty gasoline vehicles 316 373 261 261 62,616
Heavy-duty diesel vehicles 12,014 14,187 9,931 9,931
Light-duty hybrid electric freight vehicles
Total 60,209 89,451 62,616 62,616
154 Low Carbon Development in China and India
With BAU levels as the base, the no-load ratio of all vehicles is lowered
from the present 50 per cent to 20 per cent in the ILC (improved load
capacity) scenario. Thus, the use of freight vehicles may be reduced in
order to reduce the CO2 emissions from freight vehicles.
Alternative Energy Replacement (AER)
During the study on emission factors, it was discovered that the CO2
emission factor of diesel vehicles is generally higher than that of
gasoline vehicles. Therefore, an AER (alternative energy replacement)
scenario can be designed, in which the newly increased light-duty
freight vehicles are all gasoline vehicles.
Clean Energy Replacement (CER)
China has promulgated policies on promoting new energy vehicles,
and encourages consumers to buy clean energy vehicles (such as
electric vehicles [EVs] and hybrid electric vehicles [HEVs]) by means of
tax exemption or government subsidies. Therefore, the cleaning energy
replacement (CER) scenario assumes that the HEVs will account for
10 per cent of the total increased light-duty freight vehicles.
3.7.3 Scenario Analysis of Emission Reduction for Motor
Vehicles
Quantitative Analysis of Motor Vehicles in Different
Scenarios
In accordance with the scenario analysis, different quantities of freight
vehicles were estimated for the different scenarios. Refer to Table 3.2
for details.
Table 3.2 Quantities of Freight Vehicles in Guiyang in 2015 in Different Scenarios
Parameters 2011 BAU 2015 CER
ILC AER 27,072
24,897
Light-duty gasoline vehicles 22,982 35,948 25,163 27,527
261
Light-duty diesel vehicles 24,897 38,944 27,260 24,897 9,931
454
Heavy-duty gasoline vehicles 316 373 261 261 62,616
Heavy-duty diesel vehicles 12,014 14,187 9,931 9,931
Light-duty hybrid electric freight vehicles
Total 60,209 89,451 62,616 62,616
154 Low Carbon Development in China and India
